← This week
Sun, Nov 1 · 1:00 PM ET
Cardinals at Cowboys
DAL −7O/U 54.5Indoors
Artemis's position
PassARI +7
−110 · best −108 Bovada
Cover probability50.1%
Edge
−2.3 pts
Size
No bet
The model leans this way but not by enough to beat the juice. Artemis passes.
What moves the number
points of cover margin for ARI- Injuries & practice−0.69
- Team strength−0.49
- Coaching & continuity+0.42
- Special teams & penalties−0.30
- Quarterback−0.26
- Luck & regression+0.25
- Market & line−0.22
- Rest, travel & schedule−0.21
- Last game+0.17
Biggest push: Injuries & practice (−0.69). Biggest drag: Injuries & practice (−0.69). About 260 inputs, grouped. Every one is known before kickoff.
- on 7 (key number)
Arizona Cardinals
AWAY- Record
- 2-5
- Expected wins
- 2.0
- ATS this season
- 3-4
- ATS on the road
- 3-1
Since 2015: 91-96-4 ATS (48.7%) · one-score games this year 1-1
Dallas Cowboys
HOME- Record
- 3-4
- Expected wins
- 3.7
- ATS this season
- 3-3-1
- ATS at home
- 1-1
Since 2015: 95-95-5 ATS (50.0%) · one-score games this year 1-3
The key number
Spreads near 7 (6.5-7.5) land exactly on 7 in 7.5% of games since 2015.
At −7, a 7-point Cowboys win is a push.
Trends that apply
- Home favorites of 7+since 2015, 306-315-1949.3%noise
- Underdogs on a key number (+3 / +7)since 2015, 290-281-6150.8%noise
Most trends are noise. See how all 27 grade out.