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Mon, Nov 2 · 8:15 PM ET
Bears at Seahawks
SEA −3O/U 46.549°F · wind 2 mph
Artemis's position
PassSEA −3
−115 · best −115 DraftKings
Cover probability50.0%
Edge
−2.3 pts
Size
No bet
The model leans this way but not by enough to beat the juice. Artemis passes.
What moves the number
points of cover margin for SEA- Rest, travel & schedule−0.47
- Coaching & continuity+0.45
- Team strength−0.44
- Injuries & practice+0.41
- Luck & regression+0.38
- Pass rush & protection−0.11
- Market & line−0.07
- Special teams & penalties+0.07
- Last game−0.06
Biggest push: Rest, travel & schedule (−0.47). Biggest drag: Rest, travel & schedule (−0.47). About 260 inputs, grouped. Every one is known before kickoff.
- on 3 (key number)
Chicago Bears
AWAY- Record
- 5-2
- Expected wins
- 4.4
- ATS this season
- 5-2
- ATS on the road
- 2-1
Since 2015: 91-91-10 ATS (50.0%) · one-score games this year 2-1
Seattle Seahawks
HOME- Record
- 4-3
- Expected wins
- 4.7
- ATS this season
- 2-3-2
- ATS at home
- 1-1-2
Since 2015: 96-95-9 ATS (50.3%) · one-score games this year 2-3
The key number
Spreads near 3 (2.5-3.5) land exactly on 3 in 9.3% of games since 2015.
At −3, a 3-point Seahawks win is a push.
Trends that apply
- Prime-time underdogssince 2015, 346-318-2252.1%noise
- Underdogs on a key number (+3 / +7)since 2015, 290-281-6150.8%noise
Most trends are noise. See how all 27 grade out.