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Sun, Nov 1 · 1:00 PM ET
Raiders at Jets
NYJ −1.5O/U 45.558°F · wind 3 mph
Artemis's position
PassNYJ −1.5
−108 · best −105 FanDuel
Cover probability52.5%
Edge
+0.1 pts
Size
No bet
The model leans this way but not by enough to beat the juice. Artemis passes.
What moves the number
points of cover margin for NYJ- Injuries & practice−0.55
- Team strength+0.39
- Special teams & penalties+0.38
- Market & line−0.28
- Luck & regression+0.22
- Last game+0.18
- Coaching & continuity+0.17
- Rest, travel & schedule−0.15
- Quarterback−0.12
- Pass rush & protection+0.06
Biggest push: Injuries & practice (−0.55). Biggest drag: Injuries & practice (−0.55). About 260 inputs, grouped. Every one is known before kickoff.
- books split on the line: shop it
Las Vegas Raiders
AWAY- Record
- 3-4
- Expected wins
- 3.2
- ATS this season
- 5-2
- ATS on the road
- 2-1
Since 2015: 91-95-4 ATS (48.9%) · one-score games this year 1-2
New York Jets
HOME- Record
- 2-5
- Expected wins
- 3.1
- ATS this season
- 4-2-1
- ATS at home
- 2-1
Running 1.1 wins below what its points say. Due to heat up.
Since 2015: 78-104-6 ATS (42.9%) · one-score games this year 1-4
The key number
Spreads near 3 (2.5-3.5) land exactly on 3 in 9.3% of games since 2015.
This spread sits 1.5 points from 3, so the key number matters less here.
Trends that apply
None of the 27 trends we track applies to this game.
Most trends are noise. See how all 27 grade out.