← This week
Sun, Nov 1 · 1:00 PM ET
Titans at Bengals
CIN −12O/U 46.564°F · wind 5 mph
Artemis's position
PassCIN −12
−110 · best −110 BetRivers
Cover probability52.9%
Edge
+0.5 pts
Size
No bet
The model leans this way but not by enough to beat the juice. Artemis passes.
What moves the number
points of cover margin for CIN- Team strength+0.59
- Coaching & continuity+0.56
- Quarterback+0.45
- Injuries & practice−0.38
- Rest, travel & schedule+0.25
- Pass rush & protection−0.09
- Last game−0.08
- Market & line+0.06
- Special teams & penalties−0.05
Biggest push: Team strength (+0.59). Biggest drag: Injuries & practice (−0.38). About 260 inputs, grouped. Every one is known before kickoff.
- books split on the line: shop it
Tennessee Titans
AWAY- Record
- 1-6
- Expected wins
- 2.1
- ATS this season
- 3-4
- ATS on the road
- 2-1
Running 1.1 wins below what its points say. Due to heat up.
Since 2015: 83-105-7 ATS (44.1%) · one-score games this year 1-4
Cincinnati Bengals
HOME- Record
- 4-2
- Expected wins
- 4.0
- ATS this season
- 3-2-1
- ATS at home
- 1-1
Since 2015: 107-81-6 ATS (56.9%) · one-score games this year 2-2
The key number
Spreads near 10 (9.5-10.5) land exactly on 10 in 4.6% of games since 2015.
This spread sits 2 points from 10, so the key number matters less here.
Trends that apply
- Home favorites of 7+since 2015, 306-315-1949.3%noise
Most trends are noise. See how all 27 grade out.